Sex Offender Statistics

Showing posts with label NonSOs - Commit Most Sex Offenses. Show all posts

Does a watched pot boil? A time-series analysis of New York State's sex offender registration and notification law.

Labels: - New York, 2009, 95% SO - 1st Time Offenders, NonSOs - Commit Most Sex Offenses, Registry and Recidivism

2008:

Abstract
Despite the fact that the federal and many state governments have enacted registration and community notification laws as a means to better protect communities from sexual offending, limited empirical research has been conducted to examine the impact of such legislation on public safety.

Therefore, utilizing time-series analyses, this study examined differences in sexual offense arrest rates before and after the enactment of New York State's Sex Offender Registration Act.

Results provide no support for the effectiveness of registration and community notification laws in reducing sexual offending by: (a) rapists, (b) child molesters, (c) sexual recidivists, or (d) first-time sex offenders.

Analyses also showed that over 95% of all sexual offense arrests were committed by first-time sex offenders, casting doubt on the ability of laws that target repeat offenders to meaningfully reduce sexual offending. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2008 APA, all rights reserved) Paper available from APA PsycNET Direct: by Sandler, Jeffrey C.; Freeman, Naomi J.; Socia, Kelly M.
Psychology, Public Policy, and Law. Vol 14(4), Nov 2008, 284-302.

Report to the Ohio Criminal Sentencing Commission: Sex Offenders

Labels: NonSOs - Commit Most Sex Offenses, SO Arrests - Most are 1st Time Offenders

January 2006:

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The effective containment of sex offenders has been an ongoing concern for policymakers. In summer 2005, the Ohio Criminal Sentencing Commission created a Penalty Review Subcommittee to examine the current statutes in Ohio and to determine if there was a need for recommendations to improve Ohio’s management of sex offenders.

The purpose of this report is to provide information on sex offenders in Ohio’s prisons and discuss what works in effectively managing this population, including SORN legislation. Research in Ohio and nationally has found there are effective ways to manage sex offender populations.

Assessing sex offenders when they enter the prison system, developing effective treatment programs while they are in prison and closely supervising offenders when they are released to the community can assist in containing sex offender behavior. The following summarizes the highlights of the report: ..Source.. by Moore, Karhlton F. (2006) Report to the Ohio Criminal Sentencing Commission: Sex Offenders.

Table from paper
Pettway 2001 is a fabulous resource
The Ohio Department of Rehabilitation and Correction collected data on 437 male offenders admitted to the Sex Offender Risk Reduction Center (SORRC) for the first five months of 1999. (Pettway, 2001) The data were then used to provide a profile of the offenders in the system at that time.

Notice: 85% of those arrested for a sex crime,
in Ohio during the first 5 months of 1999,
had no prior sex crime history

ARE SEX OFFENDERS DANGEROUS?*

Labels: NonSOs - Commit Most Sex Offenses

November 2003:

Research Summary:
Current legislation mandating DNA collection, civil commitment, registration, and community notification of sex offenders is predicated on the assumption that sex offenders are simply more dangerous than other types of offenders in that they inevitably re-offend.

Moreover, many states are moving to expand sex offender legislation to include non-sexual offenders on the assumption that some offense types, such as burglary and robbery, serve as “gateway” offenses to sex crimes.

The purpose of this research is to highlight two of the common perceptions underlying sex offender laws, and the extension thereof, and examine them in light of current empirical evidence.

We employ analysis of variance techniques on Illinois arrest data from 1990 to 1997 to examine the degree to which sex offenders have higher proportions of repeat offending than other criminal categories and if some offense types serve as “gateway” or predicate offenses to sex crimes.

Policy Implications:
Our results suggest that the extension of sex offender laws to non-sexual offenders will likely have little effect on sexual victimization rates. More importantly, our results illustrate that policies can be founded on misconceptions, and these misconceptions not only have financial consequences, but also can affect the likelihood that the policies enacted will achieve their goals.

If nothing else, this research suggests that policy makers need to become better informed on the issues they subject to far-reaching and costly legislation. ..Source.. by LISA L. SAMPLE and TIMOTHY M. BRAY

Who commits more sex offenses in the community,
Sex Offenders -or- Non Sex offender?

Unfortunately we do not have specific figures, the study only mentions percentages, but there is another way to show -using charts from the study- that Non Sex Offenders commit more sex offenses than do sex offenders, even when sex offenders recidivate. We are going to compare the following two charts:

Fig-2 above is rearrested for the same offense, and, Fig-3 below shows rearrested for a sex offense. Now in Fig-3 it looks like sex offenders are worse than any of the others, but, the reality is, they ARE NOT!

Remember, Fig below is rearrested for sex offenses ONLY. While it is hard to see exact percentages look only at the 5-year column. To see how many non sex offenders were rearrested for sex offenses you need to SUM the 5-year columns of all crime types except sex offenders, approximately I get 14 (.9 + 2.4 + 1.9 + 2.3 + 2.1 + .9 + 1.0 + 1.0 + 1.5 = 14). Logically this shows non sex offenders are far more dangerous -in the community- than are sex offenders.. (14-v-6)