We now have added "Informational Posts" which are tidbits of information that may come in handy at some point.

Revealing the Rapist Next Door: Property Impacts of a Sex Offender Registry

August 2015:

How do homebuyers respond to perceived crime risks about sex offenders in the neighborhood? I evaluate local property and crime responses to Internet sex offender registry listings. Among more permanent listings, a nearby offender depresses house prices by up to 4 percentage points.

I document that the majority of registered sex offenders are transient, with durations of less than 6 months at an address. While a growing literature suggests that housing stability is important in reducing criminal behavior, the market perceives heightened crime risks to be attached to the listings of registered offenders with more stable housing, but not to those who are transient or who have moved away.

Prices correspond more strongly to long-term offender locations than to locations of actual sex crimes. I find small, localized reductions in rapes involving weapons within 0.1 miles of offender addresses and increases in sex crimes farther away. ..Source.. by Susan Yeh, George Mason University School of Law

With all due respect to the above author, a more indepth report reveals the real reasons that property values APPEAR to be affected. see Real Estate Values -v- Registered Sex Offenders: Home Sale Prices Affected by Registrants or Unfounded FEARS?

California release new re-offense numbers

July 2015 California:

WOW, what an amazing difference from their 2010 figures.

It is true a picture is worth a thousand words. I had to create a new category in blog, lowest of all.


Sex Crime Statistics: What do we know about the alleged High Court's Crucial Mistake?

8-25-15 National:

Recently I've received e-mails about a new paper addressing 2003 Smith v Doe, one of two sex offender cases from 2003, and which did rely on a portion of 2002 McKune v Lie. Supposedly this new essay found a way to challenge the authority of 2002 McKune v Lie, as to claims of sex offenders have a high recidivism rate. If that were possible then 2003 Smith v Doe would be in trouble as well. i.e.,cut the roots and the tree will fall.

While I hadn't heard of the authors of the essay before but I am always open to new work and ideas. Given my past research on both of the cases above I was interested in reviewing this essay. I had high hopes this was the Golden Egg. So this is a review of their Essay:

"The Supreme Court’s Crucial Mistake About Sex Crime Statistics"

I recognized the paper because it was also on SSRN, but the version sent to me was different. So for clarity sake: paper on SSRN is Version-B ('Frightening and High': The Supreme Court’s Crucial Mistake About Sex Crime Statistics), version sent to me is Version-A (The Supreme Court’s Crucial Mistake About Sex Crime Statistics)(Links provided). Titles slightly different, inside looks different as well so my review is of Version-A only.

Sex offender recidivism is always an issue, it has been in the past and will continue to be in the future. Sex offender recidivism is high or low depends on the research paper one reviews; how it is measured can vastly effect percentages. Recidivism is a measurement of the success or failure of past social, rehabilitative and law enforcement programs.

Here is what we learned: CLICK Problems with research..

Justice Assistance Grant (JAG) Program, 2014

There are significant figures covering SORNA (including penalties) and states in this resource. Those interested in such should study this and earlier versions (2013, 2012, 2011) of this resource.

August 12, 2014 NCJ 247137:

Describes the steps used in the Edward Byrne Memorial Justice Assistance Grant (JAG) formula calculation process and presents summary results of the FY 2014 formula calculations. The Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2005 merged two grant programs to establish the JAG program.

The Bureau of Justice Assistance administers this program and the Bureau of Justice Statistics calculates the formulas. Funds are distributed to states and localities based on resident population and violent crime data reported to the FBI's Uniform Crime Reporting Program. In total, approximately $290.9 million was allocated for the FY 2014 JAG awards. ..Source.. by Alexia D. Cooper, Ph.D, Kimberly Martin, Ph.D.

Female sex offenders, part 1

February 2015

The researchers summarize the main points of their study in 7 theses:

1) While sexual abuse perpetrated by women on children is underreported, such abuse is primarily perpetrated by males.

2) It is not as rare as previously thought.

3) Estimated frequency is highly dependent upon the selected sample, methodology and definition of abuse.

4) Some of the supposed victims may have lied about their victimization.

5) Female abusers are less likely to be straightforwardly pedophilic.

6) Circumstances in which abuse by females occurs are oftentimes distinct from the circumstances in which abuse by males occurs.

7) Female abusers tend to be victims of abuse themselves, and have emotional problems associated with having been abused, but are typically not psychotic.

While sexual abuse of children is typically associated in the media with men, females can be guilty of it as well. This is particularly controversial, because "abuse" needs to be defined, and so the frequency of such abuse may vary widely based on differences in definition. For example, one study suggests that up to 50 percent of child abuse cases are perpetrated by women. However, this includes caretakers who merely allow children to be abused by others, rather than being limited strictly to those who actively perpetrate abuse(Wakefield & Underwager).