We now have added "Informational Posts" which are tidbits of information that may come in handy at some point.
Showing posts with label Recidivism NY. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Recidivism NY. Show all posts

New York State Registry Recidivism Rates

Note
Source: Research Bulletin:
Sex Offender Populations, Recidivism and Actuarial Assessment pg-3
by NYS Division of Probation and Correctional Alternatives



WOW, this is interesting.
In this report before the entire NYS Senate,
look how these lawmakers presented the above statistic:




Notice what they left out, actual same crime recidivism. Now what did they say in this report before other lawmakers? Read below from pg-5 of this report.

Recidivism Among Sex Offenders:
One of the primary reasons that these restrictions are in place is to limit a sex offender’s interaction with children. The alarmingly high recidivism rate among sex offenders makes it imperative that they be watched – especially those convicted of preying on children. The New York State Division of Probation and Correctional Alternatives reported in 2007 that of 19,837 sex offenders on the sex offense registry, 15 % were rearrested within one year of registration, 24% within two years, 41% within five years and 48% within eight years.

By limiting their access to schools, and other locations where children may congregate, including day care and other locations the State can also limit sex offenders’ access to children, thereby protecting the most vulnerable members of society. Because the intent of SORA and these residency restriction requirements was to protect all children and victims of sexual predators, not just those attending programs tied to a grade school, we must act to close this loophole as well as many others that have been identified.

Did they lie? Nope, did they mislead other lawmakers? Yes, no doubt!

Worse yet, there is no definition of recidivism in either of these reports. Does it mean, rearrest, reconviction, return to prison and does it include TECHNICAL violations which are not new crimes; folks on parole or probation can be arrested for technical violations.

Finally, nowhere in either report is there a single mention of WHERE the RECIDIVISM occurred, or whether where it occurred had anything to do with the place/s this law is trying to protect?

If the recidivism occurred somewhere not related to area of the place/s the law is trying to protect, then this is a misuse of known recidivism rates and such rates will not be affected (a waste of taxpayer money and resources) and no one be will protected. Think about it...


A Detailed Analysis of Sex Offender Recidivism in New York State

11-17-2007 New York:

New York State provides a wealth of studies on sex offender recidivism. While the thought of statistical studies causes the eyes of many to glaze over, any who are concerned that public policy be based on fact rather than mythology are grateful to have some hard data. It is extremely informative to look at the data gathered over the last 20 years.

The earliest study in this period was a New York Department of Corrections study (Profile and follow-up of sex offenders released in 1986, prepared by Canestrini, K., State of New York Department of Correctional Services) which followed 556 sex offenders released from state prisons in 1986. A total of 49% of these were returned to prison within the 9 year follow-up period. It should be noted that only 6% of these (34 out of 556) were returned to prison for a new sex crime. Most were returned for parole violations (27%) or for committing other crimes such as drug offenses. The study includes the clear statement: “These findings suggest that sex offenders are a diverse population and that when looking at sex offender recidivism it is important to distinguish total criminal activity from sexual reoffending.” (p. 34) Unfortunately, politicians and the media often do not do this. It should also be noted that this study was conducted before New York's Megan's Law was enacted.

New York regularly publishes 3 year follow-up studies of all those released from state prisons. Between 1985 and 2001 a total of 11,898 sex offenders were released. Only 253 of these (2.1%) were returned to prison for new sex crimes within three years of their release. (2001 Releases: Three Year Post Release Follow-up, State of New York Department of Correctional Services, p. 18) Of course, as in the above mentioned study, recidivism rates are higher if one counts those returned to prison for parole violations or for committing other crimes such as drug offenses. In terms of this overall rate of recidivism, it is important to note that sex offenders have a lower 3 year rate of recidivism (34%) than the general prison population (42%). Only 8% of sex offenders were returned to prison as a result of a conviction for a new crime. Most were returned for parole violations.

The latest sex offender recidivism study, Research Bulletin: Sex Offender Populations, Recidivism and Actuarial Assessment (New York State Division of Probation and Correctional Alternatives, May, 2007) is unique in that it also includes those sentenced to probation and county jails. Most recidivism studies (including those previously cited) examine only those who were sentenced to prison. The study examined 19,827 offenders on the New York State Sex Offender Registry on March 31, 2005. ..more.. by Rev. Dr. C. David Hess (RIP), New York State Representative of SOhopeful International