Sex Offender Violence Risk Assessment Guide Violence Risk Appraisal Guide ( VRAG)

8-5-2012:

The sex offender Violence Risk Assessment Guild (VRAG) calculates offender risk using a different set of criteria than the Static-99 formula. The deviance in questions related to the current sexual offense and past sexual offenses is evident.

Most notably is the actual break-down in non-sexual crimes and assigning specific points to each type of non-violent crime in item #7. The highest ranking crime is robbery followed by theft, fraud, arson and felony mischief. The total points possible in this area is 49, though the calculation stops once three points have been reached. The sum then equates to -2 points or as much as three points added.

The least amount of points is -21. A sex offender with a -21 score has a 0% chance of reoffending (and being caught) in the first 7 years. In order to score the -21 points, the offender would have no personality disorder, be 39 years of age or older, lived with both parents until he was at least 16-years-old, never committed any non-sexual crimes, had never been married, had no history of alcohol abuse himself or by his parents, the victim was female and with the current offense the sexual assault resulted in the victim's death.

The only way this subject could possibly be a 0% threat to society is if he spent the entire seven years in prison due to the death of the female. If a first time offender plea agreement with confession landed him a lesser charge and lesser sentence, he could be out of prison within a couple years, in a wide variety of different scenarios. How can a sex offender who had a victim die during the assault or later as a result of the assault not be a threat to society?

The variance in the domestic relationship history is also quite different. In this category, the sex offender can actually take away some of the bad points he accumulated if he's never been married, carving off two of the points for having never been married. Using the Static-99 assessment model, having cohabitated for two or more years earns 0 points, which is the best possible score, while having never been a long term relationship adds one point, the worse possible score. These are two very different handling of the romantic relationship issue. They also contradict the California State Megan's Law website. ..Continued.. by Protecting Autistics